Wofford vs Tennessee - March Madness Betting Picks

The Matchup: No. 15 Wofford (19-15) faces No. 2 Tennessee (27-7) in Lexington. Wofford’s SoCon champs lean on Corey Tripp (14.3 PPG) and a slow pace (31st-slowest tempo). Tennessee’s elite D (63 PPG allowed, 3rd in KenPom) and offense (74.7 PPG) are led by Zakai Zeigler (11.6 PPG, 6.5 APG). Vols dominate 15-seeds (4-0).

Spread: Tennessee -18.5 (-115, BetMGM). Vols are 17-16 ATS, 7-3 as 18.5+ favorites. Wofford’s 13-16 ATS, with a 51-pt loss to Duke and 9-pt loss to Lipscomb showing vulnerability vs top teams. Tennessee’s 83-49 rout of St. Peter’s last year (similar pace) says they cover big.

Player Prop: Zakai Zeigler O6.5 assists (-110, FanDuel). Zeigler’s 6.5 APG faces Wofford’s 231st-ranked D. He’s hit 7+ assists in 45% of games—Wofford’s slow pace won’t stop his playmaking.

Total: 133.5 leans UNDER (-108, DraftKings). Wofford’s crawl (61.8 possessions/game) meets Tennessee’s top D. Vols allow 27.8% from 3; Terriers shoot 34.5%. Low-possession game stays under.

Why Tennessee Covers: Size, speed, and Rick Barnes’ 14-1 first-round record as a top-8 seed. Wofford’s hot streak ends vs SEC physicality.