Georgia vs Gonzaga - March Madness Betting Picks

The Matchup: No. 9 Georgia (20-12) meets No. 8 Gonzaga (25-8) in Wichita. Georgia’s defense (62.4 PPG allowed, 29th in KenPom) faces Gonzaga’s elite offense (86.6 PPG, 2nd nationally). Asa Newell (15.3 PPG) leads UGA; Graham Ike (17.1 PPG) powers Zags. SEC grit vs WCC finesse.

Spread: Gonzaga -6.5 (-110, BetMGM). Zags are 14-19 ATS but 5-5 in last 10; Georgia’s 17-15 ATS, 5-1 in last 6. Gonzaga’s 9-1 in last 10 games, with senior depth (Ike, Nembhard). Georgia’s SEC scars help, but Zags’ 67.2% cover rate as 6.5+ favorites wins out. Take Gonzaga -6.5.

Player Prop: Graham Ike O16.5 points (-115, FanDuel). Ike’s 17.1 PPG (62.4% 2PT) feasts vs Georgia’s 195th-ranked interior D. He’s hit 17+ in 60% of games—SEC size won’t faze him.

Total: 151.5 leans OVER (-105, DraftKings). Gonzaga’s pace (35th) and firepower push it; Georgia’s 75.6 PPG keeps up vs Zags’ 98th-ranked D. Over’s 5-2 in UGA’s last 7.

Why Gonzaga Covers: Experience (5 senior starters) and efficiency (108.7 pts/100 poss) trump Georgia’s late surge. Zags are 3-0 in 8v9 games historically—Few’s crew advances.