Yale vs Texas A&M - March Madness Betting Picks

The Matchup: No. 13 Yale (22-7) takes on No. 4 Texas A&M (22-10) in Denver. Yale’s red-hot (16-1 in last 17), with an efficient offense (81.7 PPG, 7th in 3PT%) led by John Poulakidas (19.2 PPG). Texas A&M’s physical, relying on top-ranked offensive rebounding (15.3/game) and Wade Taylor IV (15.7 PPG), but they’ve slumped (2-5 in last 7).

Spread: Yale +7.5 (-115, FanDuel). A&M’s 16-15-1 ATS, 7-4-1 as 7.5+ favorites, but Yale’s 18-10 ATS and upset Auburn last year as a 13-seed. Bulldogs’ 3PT shooting (38.8%) exploits A&M’s 167th-ranked perimeter D. Take Yale +7.5—upset potential looms.

Player Prop: John Poulakidas O16.5 points (-110, BetMGM). He torched Auburn for 28 last tourney and averages 19.2 PPG. A&M’s shaky 3PT defense (33.8% allowed) gives him space to shine.

Total: 139.5 leans OVER (-105, DraftKings). Yale’s scoring (81.7 PPG) and A&M’s rebounding pace push it past. Over’s 5-1 in A&M’s last 6, and Yale’s efficiency keeps up.

Why Yale Covers: Tourney experience, hot shooting, and A&M’s late fade. Bulldogs keep it close, maybe win outright.