Australian Open x FA Cup

Over 3.5 sets & Liverpool TT over 1.5 (-135)

Odds are juiced slightly higher than I would like but I think it’s a safe play regardless. Was back and forth between backing Sinner ML and over 3.5 sets and eventually landed on over in the sets because I think Sinner is due for some regression in his game. Sinner has been cutting up his completion in this years Aussie Open, winning 18 of 19 sets and really just dominated Djokovic. Sinner beat Novak 6-1, 6-2, 6-7 and 6-3 only dropping the tie breaker. I think Sinner should win this match but Medvedev will steal a set or two. Medvedev is statistically the best returner on tour and should have some answers for Sinners dominate serve, landing 83% of the time in the first serve against Djokovic. Medvedev has a tournament best 33 break points won and had the third most aces. Lastly, out of 9 career matches between the two, 5 have gone three sets or more (best of 5 format). I think Medvedev will do enough to steal a set in the finals.

Liverpool have scored 2+ goals in 12 of their L17 games across all competitions, 2+ in 4 of their L5 and in 6 of their L8. Liverpool are expected to have Andy Robertson and Dominik Szoboszlai back in the lineup which is massive for this team missing Salah and Trent Alexander Arnold.

Odds found on Fanduel.

Record: 6-3