Inter Milan v Bayern Munich - Champions League

Inter Milan ML (+170)

Inter Milan hosts Bayern Munich at the San Siro for the second leg of their Champions League quarterfinal, holding a 2-1 advantage from the first leg. With Bayern grappling with significant injuries and Inter’s formidable home form, the Nerazzurri are well-positioned to secure a spot in the semifinals.

Inter’s Tactical Discipline and Home Advantage

Simone Inzaghi’s side has been exceptional at home, remaining unbeaten at the San Siro this season. Their 3-5-2 formation, featuring a backline of Pavard, Acerbi, and Bastoni, provides defensive solidity, while wing-backs Darmian and Carlos Augusto offer width and support in attack. The midfield trio of Barella, Çalhanoğlu, and Mkhitaryan controls the tempo, and the strike partnership of Lautaro Martínez and Marcus Thuram poses a constant threat. Martínez, in particular, has been in scintillating form, scoring in each of his last four Champions League appearances.

Bayern’s Injury Woes and Defensive Concerns

Bayern Munich enters this crucial fixture with a depleted squad. Key players such as Manuel Neuer, Alphonso Davies, Dayot Upamecano, Jamal Musiala, and Hiroki Ito are all sidelined due to injuries. The absence of Neuer means 21-year-old Jonas Urbig will start in goal, a significant responsibility for the young keeper. The defensive line, comprising Laimer, Dier, Kim, and Stanisic, lacks cohesion and experience, which could be exploited by Inter’s dynamic attack.

Midfield Battle and Creative Spark

In midfield, Bayern relies on the duo of Kimmich and Goretzka to provide stability and link-up play. However, the absence of Musiala diminishes their creative options. Thomas Müller, expected to start in the attacking midfield role, brings experience but may struggle to influence the game against Inter’s disciplined setup. Wingers Michael Olise and Leroy Sané will need to be at their best to support Harry Kane, who leads the line but has faced challenges in recent matches.

Betting Angles and Prediction

Given Inter’s strong home record, tactical discipline, and Bayern’s injury-induced vulnerabilities, backing Inter Milan on the moneyline at +170 offers value. The Nerazzurri are likely to control the game, absorb pressure, and capitalize on counter-attacking opportunities.

Prediction: Inter Milan 2, Bayern Munich 1. GL.