CBB Parlay

Marquette ML/Baylor ML (-130)

Just going to copy and paste my Marquette write up from an earlier article in here. Backing Marquette ML who should also have zero troubles getting past a miserable 8-12 Georgetown team fresh off an 8 point loss to Providence. Georgetown has also lost 10 of their L13 games. My main reasoning for this is Marquette is head and shoulders better than Georgetown, Marquette is rolling winning their L5 games and dominate Georgetown in their first matchup on 12/22 winning by 30. I don’t quite predict a victory that large today but it should be a victory none the less.

Next I went to talk about Baylor who is a little more of a toss up than Marquette but I have stats to back up my claims. Iowa State has some really good wins on the year beating Kansas, TCU, Houston, Kansas St and Iowa but the thing is all of those wins came at home. They now face a Baylor team that is 11-1 at home with the only loss coming in a 3OT thriller last weekend against TCU. Secondly, 3 of Iowa States 4 losses on the year have come on the road, losing to Virgina Tech, Oklahoma and BYU. Losing by a combined 32 points, an average losing margin of 10.6 PPG on the road.

Next I want to discuss the home and away splits for both teams, like I stated earlier Iowa State is a completely different team on the road compared to at home, and the numbers back that up. Iowa State averages 83.7 PPG at home but only 73.8 PPG on the road, also they allow just 56.4 PPG at home compared to 74.1 on the road. That’s a 10 PPG swing on offense and 18 PPG swing on defense, the defense is where they struggle the most on the road. Lastly, Baylor is much more dominate at home averaging 15 more PPG at home (75 PPG compared to 90). I think the home and away splits for Iowa State will be their downfall tonight, I like Baylor to roll at home. GL.