Auburn (-31.5) vs Alabama State - March Madness Betting Picks

The Matchup: Auburn, a #1 seed, is a legit title contender with a high-octane offense (83.8 PPG) & suffocating defense (67.2 PPG allowed). Alabama State, a 16-seed, scraped by St. Francis (70-68) in the First Four & averages a measly 64.2 PPG. Mismatch alert!

Spread: Auburn -31.5 (-110, BetMGM). Auburn’s 18-15 ATS this season, but their Quad 4 dominance is insane—avg margin of victory is 41.3 points. Alabama St’s shaky offense & porous D (70+ PPG allowed) won’t keep this close. Tigers roll big.

Player Prop: Johni Broome O9.5 rebounds (+102, FanDuel). Auburn’s star big man (18.9 PPG, 10.6 RPG) feasts on weaker teams. Alabama St lacks size & rebounding grit (33.1 RPG). Broome’s a lock to hit double-digit boards.

Total: 149.5 leans UNDER (-108, DraftKings). Auburn could score 100, but Alabama St won’t contribute much. Hornets shoot 39.8% from the field & won’t crack Auburn’s D. Pace favors a lower total.

Why Auburn Covers: Superior talent, depth, & coaching. Bruce Pearl’s squad thrives in blowouts, while Alabama St’s outmatched across the board.